Scenario Planning (Future Cone)

Introduction

"...Thinking about the future is an innate human capability that is essential for survival and prosperity......To envisage the future, we must have an appreciation of the past..."
CSIRO, 2022

Scenario planning is another name for strategic foresight, ie
"...strategic foresight is a long-standing field of research and application that formalises our innate and intuitive ability to think about the future, drawing upon a wide ranging toolkit of structured methods, frameworks and processes...... draws upon a range of quantitative and qualitative tools to tap into several different futures that vary in their level of uncertainty..."
CSIRO, 2022

The Future Cone

"...the diameter of the circle is inversely proportional to the level of certainty..."

CSIRO, 2022